by BrandondelPozo » Thu Jun 03, 2010 9:25 am
Typical developer drivel.
They used the accepted, conventional method for figuring impact, got 141 students, saw that this was a 12% increase in the size of the school district, and knew this would be horrible and hard to sell.
So they threw the number out and made up their own calclulations, assuming mobile/modular homes would have the same density of children as the rest of Cold Spring, including the retirement apartments, the mansions, etc. They make no mention that we have a low density due to these types of places and also because of vacation homes, and that their mobile/modular homes will not be vacation properties, retirement homes, or mansions. Mobile/modular homes have lots of kids; that's what the conventional menthod for calculating impact so clearly showed and why they threw it out. Ignoring these things, they take the demonstrated density for all of Cold Spring and just use it for themselves.
But they weren't done. Then they deducted an additional ten percent in what was clearly bad, tricky math they were hoping would be overlooked. They claimed that ten percent of the kids who go to Haldane will in fact go to private schools. But their basis number is the number of kids iactually n the Haldane school system, not how many could be in the school system if they weren't somewhere else. How can ten percent of the 866 kids who actually go to Haldane at present not go to Haldane at present?
Viola: the number they want: 24 new students, not 141.
Maybe the fact that that accepted calculations were "historically high" for this area shows that the development they propose is historically inappropriate for this area. It should be resisted.